Forums » Bugs

Getting AGT isn't a 1 in 50 chance

Jan 20, 2011 space999999 link
I don't know how you guys may have messed up on this, but Inc said that the chances were 1 in 50. Right now, it's about 1 in 10, or 1 in 5. Several players have proven this.

[EDIT] just to be clear... hive agt... not regular agt....
Jan 20, 2011 CrazySpence link
1 in 50 is just the chance of the dice roll it doesn't mean you count upto 50 queens and expect 1.

For example say 10 people are killing queens across the universe.

they each kill 5 queens

Odds are one of them will get a hagt.

Chance however could give each of them 1 however they could get stone walled for the next 10 they kill each so you could have 1 drop out of 50, or 5 out of 50 or 5 out of 150 etc...

anyways one day when you get older you'll have the opportunity to take some real math classes to explain it better just stop assuming it is 1 in 50 per person and think of it across the entire universe with queens potentially being killed all over
Jan 21, 2011 EddyHolland link
Thespian your sample size is too small to have a confident estimator of the probability of a hive AGT drop.

Which is not to say you're wrong - if over a longer period everyone agrees that hive AGT are dropping quite frequently (as opposed to quite rarely) then you may have a point.

[EDIT]
I take that back, I have received strong evidence to persuade me that Thespian has a point and that hive AGT are not very rare.
Thanks!